THE EXPOSURE MAP · SELECT THE LENS

The Risk Is Not “White Collar.” It Is Codifiable Work Without Context

Editorial scores translate the study’s mechanism into a practical watchlist. They are not occupation-level forecasts.

Work pattern

Why AI changes the economics

Automation risk

Codified analysisJunior research, reporting

Rules and examples can be converted into repeatable model workflows.

92 / 100

Routine creationDrafting, basic design, code

First drafts become cheaper; review and accountability remain human.

86 / 100

Regulated judgmentClinical, legal, financial

AI assists, but liability, trust and case-specific judgment slow substitution.

48 / 100

Tacit field workTrades, operations, sales

Physical variability and relationship knowledge are hard to encode.

27 / 100

The first break appears where output is easy to specify and junior labor performs it.The employer does not need to replace a senior worker. It only needs to hire fewer apprentices into the workflow.

Framework based on Stanford’s automation-versus-augmentation and codified-versus-tacit findings. Scores are editorial diagnostics.