On plan — milestones hit
Miss — conversion lags
Backlog to milestone revenue recognition to the positive-EBITDA gate
Backlog ~$1.8B
record order book
book-to-bill 4.5x
bookings run far ahead
commercial 49%
civil 37%
natl security 14%
CLPS lunar
missions
Spacecraft
platforms
GEO satellite
>$600M program
Services
and programs
revenue inflection
plateau → ~$200M / qtr
no inflection
revenue stays at plateau
gross margin ~10%
scale and mix must lift it
Positive EBITDA
FY2026 margin gate
gate open
gate shut
flow passes
flow starves
Upside narrows
low-end revenue
margins stay negative
Upside ~60% stands
full consensus target
gate open, EBITDA positive