Buyer shares after the deal
up
flat
down
Lockup on the deal's shares
locked
unlock
How a stock-funded acquisition pressures the share price
cash pile
buyer balance sheet
untouched — no cash
share count
new shares created
equity pays for the deal
1 · equity-as-currency
paid in stock, not cash
Dilution, lockup and float supply
target shareholders
receive buyer stock
deal shares
lockup gate
float
thin slice
2 · dilution
4 · float & lockup supply
ownership pool
split into more slices
deal cost
cost deflates
cost inflates
cost steady
buyer stock
share price
3 · re-pricing feedback
share-price move
driven by dilution + supply
AI thesis
operating business unchanged
≠
5 · outcome — the drop is plumbing pressure, not the AI thesis