Post-lockup outcome:
demand / absorbs sell pressure / overshoot lockup gate
Cerebras IPO float scarcity, lockup supply, and the absorption decision around mid-November 2026 May 14 debut Jun–Aug Aug 19 ≈ mid-Nov 2026 priced $185 $350 open close $215.69 (3) post-Q2 selloff (2) debut spike price discovery (1) scarcity public float constrained · traded price firm locked shares investors · insiders large future supply LOCKED (5) lockup release ≈ mid-Nov 2026 (4) ARK accumulation demand inflow (6) two outcomes demand absorbs supply float absorbed · price holds supply overshoots demand float expands · re-pricing

Lockup ≈180 days inferred from convention (not a published date); index-inclusion is a scenario, not an attested event.