Intact loop
Gate A · no raise
Gate B · momentum lost
Gate C · growth reset
Loop intact: the stock beats, guidance is raised, and price holds above its 50-day and 200-day averages, so the multiple keeps rolling forward onto higher forward earnings.
Why a high price-to-earnings premium survives or snaps
The beat-and-raise loop keeps a rich multiple supportable; each of the three failure gates severs one leg and flips the premium into a de-rating.
premium holds
loop intact
premium supported
beat-and-raise rolls themultiple onto forward EPS
forward growth embedded
stock must grow into the multiple
revenue + EPS beat
vs consensus
full-year guide raised
forward EPS lifted
above 50-day & 200-day
momentum holds longs
gate C · growth reset
same price, higher multiple
gate B · momentum lost
50-day then 200-day break
gate A · no raise
guide miss / beat-without-raise
e.g. Broadcom June 2026 miss
de-rating is proportionally larger
the higher the starting multiple
trip one gate and the loop snaps