Conversion track
Breakage track
commitments → Helios racks → billed revenue → valuation held
How GW commitments convert into 2027 data-center revenue and where the chain can break
Helios rack system
ships late 2026
18 trays · ~7,000 lb
4x Instinct + EPYC
Pensando networking
GW commitments
deployment intentions — not yet billed
Meta
6GW · 1GW now
Anthropic
2GW · MI450
OpenAI · Oracle
2026 Helios
Microsoft
Helios on Azure
conversion rate
sustainable GM
Billed DC revenue
recognized revenue
2027 targets
DC revenue doubles
tens of billions
conversion rate drops
targets stay intentions
~$770B valuation
82x trailing non-GAAP
holds on billed ramp
~$770B valuation
82x trailing non-GAAP
conversion missed
~4.5%
DC-GPU share
share
erodes
Breakage path — presses on share before conversion lands
CUDA ecosystem
lock-in
Vera Rubin rack
lower price
Late Helios ship
slips timing
conversion
thins