Beat not priced
Beat already priced
Beat-and-raise estimate-revision loop for KEYS: unpriced beat re-rates the stock up; a priced beat fades through the prior close and flips the read down.
After the Q3 beat and Q4 guide clear consensus, sell-side forward estimates reset up at an unchanged multiple, which re-rates the price higher — unless the pre-earnings run-up had already priced the beat in, in which case the same news produces a sell-the-news fade that settles below the pre-report close and flips the read down.
next beat restarts the loop
Q3 beat + Q4 guide
clears consensus
beat not priced
Sell-side FY estimates
reset up
Forward multiple
holds flat
Post-earnings price
re-rates UP
beat priced
Run-up already
priced the beat in
Sell-the-news fade
spike → settle
prior close
reclaims prior close → read holds
Fails to reclaim
prior close → DOWN
threshold