Golden-cross gate
pending
complete
Chase risk: the momentum extension is gated by the golden cross
1 · momentum build
V-shaped rally
RSI · room to overbought
MACD · positive
3 · vulnerability
wide ATR — fast mean reversion
golden cross
50-day still below 200-day
50-day now above 200-day
2 · confirmation gate
price must hold the 50-day line
extension continues
trend-following flow
institutional pile-in
4 · failure trigger
RSI rolls below 50
price loses the 50/200
MA cluster support
downside resolution
retest of July pivot
failed-breakout risk