Explore the ramp outcome:
Ramp on schedule
Ramp bottlenecked
Tomahawk production ramp: depletion, contract, capacity ramp with 34-month lot lead time, execution gate, and two terminal outcomes
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
Raytheon Tucson, AZ · Tomahawk production line
1 · Depletion
-1,000+ spent
Tomahawks fired
≈half stockpile
2026 Iran war
ATACMS/PrSM low
2 · Contract
$22.9B Navy award
Arsenal of Freedom
3 · Capacity ramp
target 1,000+/yr
60-200/yr baseline
5 · execution gate
2030
deliveries
hold
slip
4 · Back-loading
~34 mo per lot
Ramp bottlenecked
gate restricts throughput
deliveries slip past 2030
margin compression
thesis breaks
Ramp on schedule
ramp reaches 1,000+/yr
deliveries land on 2030
backlog converts to cash
dividend growth supported
On schedule — the gate stays open, the ramp holds to ~1,000 missiles/yr, and the 2030 deliveries convert backlog to cash that supports dividend growth.