Alt-participation gate tests first start against early exhaustion
Sentiment opens the gate; the gate routes the same four breadth indicators into either a confirming first-start reading or a failing early-exhaustion reading. Flip the gate flaps to change which side drives the verdict.
1 · sentiment gate opens
fear to greed in a month · short of extreme-greed zone
extreme fear
fear
neutral
greed
extreme greed
position: in greed, short of extreme greed
spike to extreme greed · reversal
alt-participation gate
broaden beyond the leaders?
confirmation
falsification
Leaders hold trend avgs
reclaimed · stay overbought
Alts follow & reclaim
their own trend avgs
Spot-ETF + funding in
inflows stay positive
Sentiment path
grinds toward extreme greed
first start holds
broadening participation
trend leaders
lagging alts
inflow pace
sentiment
Leader fades
through pullback support
Alts stall
below their trend avgs
Inflows fade
spot-ETF, funding weaken
Spikes to extreme greed
then reverses · top-risk setup
early exhaustion
squeeze in a corrective range
flip the gate: same four indicators, two readings