Escalation from
Washington
tariff threats mount
steel & aluminium
autos & parts
softwood / furniture
forced-labour tariff
broad tariff — all goods
Pressure targets
concessions sought
dairy
autos
alcohol
energy
Cost & backlash
in Canada
no-deal cost rises
households feel the hurt
few back alcohol cuts
dairy non-negotiable
Retaliation &
deadline
counter-tariffs:
US autos & steel
no appetite to talk
US sectoral relief?
gate closed — truce loop
Durable deal
relief offered —
Ottawa sells it at home
Tactical truce
no relief — pause only
status quo frozen
loop cycles again
each truce re-feeds escalation
No relief
Relief offered
state: truce loop