Hyperscaler capex
Keeps compounding
Inflects down
How hyperscaler capex flows into NVDA data-center revenue and free cash flow
Hyperscaler capex
MSFT · GOOGL · AMZN · META
1–2 qtr lag
NVDA data-center
revenue lands
Customer FCF
compresses under spend
spend slows, FCF eases
FCF conversion
≈60% margin
own capex $1.8B
NVDA FCF
compounding
NVDA cash bridge
Cash bridge holds
Q3 guide clears consensus
Thesis breaks
revenue follows ≤2 qtrs