QQQ hedging flow vs ETF inflows at the 50-day SMA Rate-driven fear Put-heavy hedging amplifies downside put/call 1.10 · IV 19% Real-money inflows ETF creation/redemption 1M +$9.7B · day +$403M hedging amplifies QQQ Nasdaq-100 tape 50-day SMA · $713 creation still adding $718.60 Dip holds 50-day SMA bought breaks SMA flows flip negative Drawdown extends hedgers dominate extends beyond the SMA