comps hold · +5.8%
comps decelerate
What would break the Cheesecake Factory 81% rally
comps → margin → multiple — the +81% rally rides the multiple
rally intact
much of the rally erased
Sales drivers
unit + comps · +5.8%
Pricing vs. cost spread
~3% pricing vs. inflation
Restaurant-level margin
~20% · decade-high
EPS growth
Forward multiple
~30x · 2.4x own 5-yr median
peers ~20.6–20.8x
Reversion path
margin compresses,
multiple reverts to peers
Guide tripwire
FY26 guide failure
traffic +2.7
traffic negative
check +3.1