Cyclical boom-bust
Contracted SCA floor
Floor prices and pre-committed volume convert peak-cycle memory pricing into durable contracted cash flow
HBM + premium DRAM capacity
pre-committed · sold out to 2026 / H1 2027
Cyclical spot
Spot price revenue
no floor · no pre-commit
Operating cash flow
swings with the cycle
Peak-cycle multiple
reprices down as momentum cools
Contracted SCA
Contract revenue slab
floor price · pre-committed vol
floor price holds margin above peak
Operating cash flow
durable · net-cash · record capex
Durability repricing
multiple sustains as momentum cools
past-cycle GM peak
past-cycle GM peak
price-multiple outcome
peak-cycle
durability
floor prices + pre-committed volume = memory repriced on durability