Downside break
Status quo
Consolidation
Distressed-airline entry: a levered recovery call with M&A optionality
fixed-cost base
capital-heavy fleet
high leverage
leverage lens
fixed costs × debt
amplified swings
equity payoff
recovery magnitude
breakeven
equity captures upside
entry at panic lows
chatter re-prices call
leverage amplifies
high fuel & labor
capacity breakdown
demand rolls over
levered drawdown
miss → big loss
deleveraging
re-rating
M&A re-price
call repriced first