Certification on track
Certification slips
Dilutive equity-issuance waterfall vs the immaterial insider sale
Quarter-scale cash burn drains the balance, so the company must keep issuing equity to extend runway. The pending Boeing transaction adds consideration shares, warrants, and a contingent forward purchase; each step grows the share count and dilutes per-share value. The certification gate sets the price of future raises. The insider sale sits entirely outside this mechanism.
Cash & investments
funds the burn
Quarter-scale
cash burn
1
Equity issuance
to extend runway
2
Boeing transaction adds shares
Boeing
consideration
shares
3
Warrants
claim on
future shares
4
Contingent
forward
purchase
if large raise
5
Share-count growth
denominator expansion
6
per-share value holds
per-share value erodes
share count
per-share
value
future raises
Certification
gate · FAA / eIPP
7
track: cheap dilution
slip: costlier dilution
Insider sale
immaterial, outside ladder
8
not part of this mechanism